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I am not sure if many are aware but NBTHK is starting to limit the number of shinsa applications, you can read more in the link: https://www.touken.or.jp/Portals/0/pdf/english/Important Announcement.pdf

 

The new upper limit for Hozon/Tokubetsu Hozon swords will be 1,600 applications per shinsa session. I remember I tried to do some calculations about shinsa submissions few years ago. Then discussed these with Darcy, amounts of  H/TH & Jūyō submission. Now with the new system there will be 4 H/TH sword shinsa per year, so there would be 6,400 sword submissions yearly.

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